SCIO briefing on China's current economic performance
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E-mail China.org.cn, July 28, 2017
The good performance of the economy in the first half this year mostly resulted from the proposal of the economic new normal charted by the CPC Central Committee to create a unified view on the future course of national economy since the 18th CPC National Congress.
We need to uphold clear thinking while observing the future of the economy. President Xi has more than once stressed that we need dialectic views and farsighted visions to address the issue in particular. In doing so, we need to take into consideration both the current economic course and its future trajectory, both the indexes and expectations and both the achievements and problems.
Given the outlook of China's economy in middle and long term, positive changes can be seen. General development has maintained good momentum and it will keep improving in the long term, the structure of supply and demand has been essentially transformed, the combined expectations of enterprises and market confidence have been boosted and the driving force of the economy has been reinforced. Such progress has not only stimulated the national economy but also contributed to the recovery of the world's economy.
More to the point, the new development conception and supply-side reform have gained popularity, especially, among the local governments and enterprises, causing them to change for the good. Conceptions, referring to a fundamental change and a strengthened force, are attempting to reach a more advanced economic structure by spearheading a transformation in development modes, improving the economic structure and renewing the economic driving force. Therefore, I feel upbeat about China's economy and I am confident it will by no means fall into the middle-income trap as some have alleged.
Meanwhile, we are aware that China is at a crucial stage in its economic development where structural reform is still underway. Particularly, supply-side structural reform is deepening, with many challenges to be overcome. Despite stable performance with good momentum in the first half (H1) of this year, there are problems in China's economic development. Some of them are deep-seated, such as poor circulation of the real economy, the arduous task of managing financial risks, the lack of long-term mechanisms to ensure the sound and stable development of the real estate market as well as mounting pressure from increasing business costs.
Furthermore, the economic prospects for different regions, sectors and enterprises are increasingly divergent. Given the deep integration of the Chinese economy in the world economy, the latter, though improved in H1 this year, is transmitting its uncertainties to the former.
2. The work we will do in the second half of this year
The CPC Central Committee and the State Council stressed that to deliver sound and sustained economic growth in H2 of this year, we must make it our top priority to remain committed to the underlying principle of making progress while keeping economic performance stable. This serves as a major principle of China's governance and a reliable method for its economic development.
Ensuring stability requires making progress while maintaining stable overall performance. However, the stability we pursue is not equivalent to inactivity or stability achieved through strength and rigidity. Instead, we should endeavor to make progress while striking a balance, seizing opportunities and moderating our pace. New achievements should be made this year in managing financial risks and continuing supply-side structural reform.
We should stick to the guidelines set by the Central Economic Work Conference 2016 and the Report on the Work of the Government 2017, and seek progress in all areas of our work. To be specific, we will do the following: keep macro-level policy consistent and stable; pursue a proactive fiscal policy and a prudent monetary policy; focus on supply-side structural reform; expand aggregate demand as appropriate; do better in guiding expectations; and strengthen the role of innovation in driving forward development.
We should ensure that we achieve three essential goals, namely, maintaining stable and sound economic development, continuing supply-side structural reform and forestalling systemic financial risks.
Taking into account both the current situation and the long-term development needs, the CPC Central Committee and the Sate Council stressed that, while seeking progress in all areas, we should focus on the following six tasks: first, firmly continuing supply-side structural reform; second, actively yet gradually dissolve the accumulated debt risks of some local governments; third, suppress financial chaos; fourth, stabilize the real estate market; fifth, maintain the steady growth of foreign and private investment; sixth, word hard to improve people's livelihoods. That concludes my introduction. Now officials from National Development and Reform Commission, National Bureau of Statistics and the Central Leading Group on Financial and Economic Affairs as well as myself would like to take your questions. Thank you.
Xi Yanchun:
Thanks to Mr. Yang Weimin for his introduction. Now, the floor is open to questions.
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