SCIO briefing on China's fiscal and monetary policies
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E-mail China.org.cn, July 29, 2017
Liu Wei:
Fourth, issue local government bonds in swaps with government debt. The previously mentioned newly-issued bond in the budget under central government guidance is the increment, which would be controlled in the new increased quota. But what should we do with the stock of local government debts already existing? Those debts were gradually replaced by issuing local government bonds, which will lower the entire cost of debt.
Fifth, improve local government's special debt management abilities. We are promoting special and particular bond management methods, strengthening the management of special debts related to local government's funded income and local assets (e.g. land assets).
Sixth, establish a risk pre-warning and emergency response mechanism. The Ministry of Finance has established approaches for achieving risk pre-warning and emergency response, asking local governments to evaluate the risks based on the total amount of debts and the debt structure. This involves very precise system design.
Seventh, we built a system of regular supervision of local government debt. Besides audit supervision, the Financial Supervision Commissioner's Office of the Ministry of Finance also exercises routine supervision on the debt of local governments according to law, which is also their major task. Somecity or county-level governments under theearly warning, and financing platforms with non-standard operation have also been placed under surveillance. We have taken a series of measures to strengthen daily supervision of local government debt.
Eighth, we will resolutely stop such action as financing guarantee in violation of the relevant law and regulations. Media friends may notice that, in regard to those illegal behaviors, local governments are not only required to take corrective steps, but also are held fully accountable for their actions.
With the gradual implementation of the measures, it can be said we have achieved remarkable success in controlling risks of local government debt, and we are fully capable of defending the bottom line, namely no outbreak of systemic risk. By the end of last year, local governments' outstanding debt stood at 15.32 trillion yuan, within the quota of 17.19 trillion yuan approved by the National People's Congress. If assessing the level of local government by measure of the debt ratio, it was 80.5 percent in 2016, which stayed below the international standard.
Adding in the outstanding central government debt of 12.01 trillion yuan included in budget management, the outstanding government debt nationwide stands at 27.33 trillion yuan. Calculated in accordance with GDP preliminary accounting of 74.41 trillion yuan released by the National Bureau of Statistics, the government debt ratio stood at 36.7 percent. This figure is lower than the European Union's warning line - 60 percent - and it is also lower than the level of major market-economy countries and emerging markets. In regard to government debt risk, we think it is generally controllable, which is our rational and confident answer.
As approved by the fifth session of the 12th National People's Congress this year, the debt limit for local governments in 2017 is 18.82 trillion yuan. At the end of June, with the issue of more bonds, the current debt balance of local governments is 15.86 trillion yuan, still under the limit of 18.82 trillion yuan. China's National Financial Work Conference and the meeting of the Political Bureau of the Central Committee of Communist Party of China have made special arrangements and specified requirements on controlling local debt levels and prevent risk, and the Ministry of Finance will carry out the implementation in a clear and resolute way. We will further implement the new concepts of development, and adhere to supply-side structural reform as the main effort, resolve accumulated local debtrisk in an active and prudent way, and regulate the debt financing of all local governments.
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