SCIO briefing on BRICS opportunities, challenges and prospects

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SCIO briefing on BRICS opportunities, challenges and prospects

Speakers:
Zhang Yansheng, chief research fellow of the China Center for International Economic Exchanges
Zhang Jianping, deputy director of Academic Steering Committee, Chinese Academy of International Trade and Economic Cooperation, Ministry of Commerce

Chairperson:
Xi Yanchun, vice director-general of the Press Bureau, State Council Information Office

Date:
August 28, 2017

The Beijing News:

Today, we've been talking about the deglobalization trend and trade protectionism starting to re-emerge, so I wonder if the BRICS summit would discuss this and come up with some measures to deal with the situation.

Zhang Yansheng:

As for the related issues of deglobalization, trade protectionism and populism, we have seen a strange phenomenon: the economies leading the deglobalization movement are not emerging markets. The United Kingdom is seeking to withdraw from Europe, known as Brexit, while the United States has conducted Section 301 investigations and holds a different view on trade protectionism. The two are both the leaders who had been pushing the globalization drive in history. Why do these two most developed countries with the soundest market economies and best legal and supervision capabilities allow their voters to elect leaders who have such a different view on globalization? Why?

Personally, I think these voters are not satisfied with the results of the globalization that started from 1990, so they choose to vote in this way. Why are they not satisfied? I think there are three problems. First, people are not satisfied with current income distribution. A very few people, about one percent of the population have been getting more of the benefits, while the vast majority have missed out, especially the middle class. Globalization promotes development, but the results have not been distributed well. Second, since 1990, we have seen the following phenomena: in the major powers of the world, the hi-tech manufacturing industry has slowed down, the application rate of innovations and inventions has decreased, and the proportion of the real economy has also shrunk; at the same time, the finance and real estate industries have prospered along with construction. So, in this way, we can see the major powers of the world have developed hollows in their economies. Therefore, not only political leaders but also business circles are not satisfied, because the real economy's proportion is going down. Third, we have seen an increase without development, that is, some countries see their GDP and GDP per capita increasing but the development of society and the overall structure are unbalanced.

You've just raised this question: How will the BRICS mechanism sum up the problems emerging from globalization since 1990, and resolve the problem of income distribution through cooperation? This is actually an issue of inclusive development, including how to encourage innovation and how to build strong growth dynamics. I think the BRICS mechanism can urge the countries to participate in global governance and improve it so as to build a better world economic system and a more consummate coordination mechanism for international macro policies. The BRICS mechanism can promote world peace, world development, world openness and world cooperation. If we make successful efforts in this aspect, it will be a contribution to world development and also to emerging markets and developing countries. Thank you.