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SCIO briefing on China's economic performance in 2017

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Speakers:
Ning Jizhe, head of the National Bureau of Statistics
Xing Zhihong, spokesperson of National Bureau of Statistics, director general of Department of Comprehensive Statistics of the bureau

Chairperson:
Hu Kaihong, spokesperson of the State Council Information Office of China

Date:
Jan. 18, 2018

Phoenix TV:

I would like to ask a question about the economic situation in 2018. We have noticed that some people think this year may be the beginning of a new cycle for China's economy. Others think it is a crucial period for China's economic restructuring and the economy may face some downward pressure. What are your thoughts on the overall economic situation for 2018?

Ning Jizhe:

This issue has caused heated discussion among Chinese economists in the second half of last year. It should be said that China's economy has maintained the momentum of stable and sound development. China's economy has undergone phased development, structural adjustments and cyclical changes. Therefore, we must make comprehensive judgments both in analyzing the economic situation in the past and in studying the economic situation for 2018.

In terms of phased development, China's economy has shifted from a period of rapid growth to a period of high-quality development. The entire national economy is very large, so is the total economic output in various regions. And the economic output of several provinces and regions is now comparable with that of G20 countries. Take Guangdong and Jiangsu for example, the total economic output of each province exceeds 8 trillion yuan. We should comply with the requirements for high quality development. In order to push the economy toward high-quality development, the Central Government has also made explicit the promotion of high-quality development as a fundamental requirement in 2018, formulated a series of policies and measures, and specified this year's key tasks.

Let's talk about structural adjustments. In the past few years, historic changes have taken place in China's economic structure. This is true for both the industrial structure, the demand structure and the factors structure. The supply-side structural reforms are also fueling these changes. This year, all localities and departments should further deepen the supply-side structural reforms, adhere to efforts of cutting overcapacity, reducing inventory, deleveraging, lowering costs and strengthening weak areas. In the meantime, we must eliminate ineffective supply, increase effective supply, and reduce production and operation costs. These structural adjustments will continue to exert a positive influence.

Cyclical changes also exist to some extent. The overall situation of the world economy is positive and the three major economies are all growing. Although many uncertainties and instabilities still exist, as long as we seize the opportunity and overcome the challenges, the domestic economy will continue to maintain the momentum of stable and sound development while highly integrated with the world economy. At the same time, there are many favorable opportunities for development in our country. Therefore, the cyclical factors should also be observed in the context of phased development and structural adjustments. This will help us to make better judgments on the economic situation in 2018.

At present, the fundamentals of China's economy are good. Structural adjustment, optimization and upgrading are being carried out at an accelerated pace. The phased changes brought by quality and efficiency improvements will become more obvious.