SCIO briefing on China's economic performance in 2017

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Speakers:
Ning Jizhe, head of the National Bureau of Statistics
Xing Zhihong, spokesperson of National Bureau of Statistics, director general of Department of Comprehensive Statistics of the bureau

Chairperson:
Hu Kaihong, spokesperson of the State Council Information Office of China

Date:
Jan. 18, 2018

CCTV and CGTN:


The economic performance in 2017 was better than expected. And the economic growth owes much to the contribution of foreign trade - the greatest contribution comparing to those in the past few years. However, as we have noted, imports and exports may encounter severer challenges in 2018, so will that put the economy under greater stress this year? And, if the impact of trade weakens, will the consumption be strong enough to sustain economic development?


Ning Jizhe:


Last year, the contribution rate of net imports and exports in regard to both commodities and services reached 9.1 percent. Even so, domestic demand remained the most powerful engine promoting the economy, contributing 91 percent to the growth. Among internal demand, consumption accounted for 60 percent, while investment also played an important role.


The world economy is indeed facing both challenges and opportunities. The Economic Work Conference of the CPC Central Committee asked for making new ground in pursuing opening up on all fronts. According to the 19th CPC National Congress, China will expand foreign trade , not only in size, but also in terms of quality, efficiency and structural improvements. Last year, exports achieved double-digit growth, which, optimistically, involved structural improvements, such as a surging proportion of electromechanical exports and an increasingly important role for high-tech exports. Therefore, in order to sustain sound trade development, China should continue to improve its trade structure so it can give full play to advantageous sectors while doing business with the rest of the world based on its win-win and mutually-benefited framework. The opening-up policies should not be restricted to commodity trade; instead, it should also work for investments and services. Just now I talked about commodity trade. The service trade in general is still in deficit, but is making big strides. Offshore investments and the use of foreign investments are integral parts of international balance of payment. In a press conference a few days ago, the Ministry of Commerce gave us a panoramic view of openness in full details. With the concerted efforts between trade in commodities and services, the openness can definitely speed up reforms, boost development and drive the China's economy with a stronger engine. They will not only benefit the Chinese people, but also bring mutual benefit and win-win results to the entire world.


Market News International:


We have noticed the recent large appreciation of RMB. The Chinese government once said that the appreciation of RMB was a double-edged sword for the economy. Do you have a new explanation (for the recent appreciation)? As China's economy is transitioning towards relying more on domestic demand, is a stronger RMB an advantage or disadvantage for economic development?


Ning Jizhe:


The basic balance of international payments, while being a trade issue, is more of an issue concerning the balance of the macroeconomy. Last year, the Chinese economy delivered a steady and sound performance and beat expectations, and this can be reflected in part by the balance of international payments. Whether international payments are balanced is an important indicator of a country's macroeconomy. Last year, China's international payments were basically balanced, and this has helped guarantee and promote economic growth. When the international payments are balanced, the RMB's exchange rate remains stable and a stable RMB not only helps trade develop steadily but also helps the macroeconomy achieve steady and sound growth. Maintaining a balance of international payments is an important responsibility of the government departments in charge of the macroeconomy. Our statistical department, as a producer of comprehensive and fundamental data, will closely follow the changes in international payments. In fact, the national economy accounting involves five tables, and the GDP table is only one of them.  The other four are the input-output table, the flows-of-funds table, the balance sheet and the balance of international payments. While the People's Bank of China takes the lead in compiling the balance of international payments, our statistical departments will also pay close attention. I believe that by following the guiding principles of the Central Economic Work Conference and with the efforts of relevant government departments, China can maintain and further improve the balance of international payments in 2018. 


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