SCIO briefing on China's current economic performance

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Speakers:
Yang Weimin, vice minister of the Office of Central Leading Group on Financial and Economic Affairs;
Wang Zhijun, director of Division One on Economic Affairs, the Office of Central Leading Group on Financial and Economic Affairs;
Cong Liang, director-general of the Department of National Economy, the National Development and Reform Commission;
Xing Zhihong, spokesperson of the National Bureau of Statistics and director general of the Department of Comprehensive Statistics of the bureau

Chairperson:
Xi Yanchun, vice director-general of the Press Bureau, State Council Information Office

Date:
July 27, 2017

Phoenix TV:

Recently, the "gray rhino" has been mentioned several times. The Chinese media first reported "gray rhino" threats and said these and "black swan"eventsshould be prevented. And the foreign mediaalso reported that China should pay attention to "gray rhino" threats. How do youevaluate this matter? Thank you.

Wang Zhijun:

Thank you. Firstly, I'd like to explain the meaning of the"gray rhino" threats and the "black swan"events respectively. The"black swan"event is a metaphor that describes an event that comes as a surprise. As for the "gray rhino,"it is known that the rhino has a big body, so the word meansthat a serious matter has not attracted enough attention, which leads to a serious event, even though it could have been expected in the early stage. The CPC Central Committee is effectively preventing and defusing risks in the financial sector. And the CPC is always defending the bottom line of no outbreak of systemic risk. Both "black swan" events and "gray rhino" threats may offend the bottom line of financial risk. However, as I mentioned, these two events differ in nature. So, we should have different ways to deal with and prevent risks.

Regarding "black swan" events, they are unexpected, and so we should keep calm and have a high sensitivity, especially in regard to the condition of an unstable economic base. We will become more aware of potential dangers and always keep potential risks in mind. We will strengthen the ways to trace, monitor and analyze various matters and improve the prediction and precaution system for identifying emerging issues as soon as possible. We will make full preparations and take preventive measures

In "gray rhino" threats, the matters have already appeared. So, we should have crisisawareness and adhere to a problem-oriented approach. Facing "gray rhino" threats, including a shadow banking system, property bubbles, inflated local debt levels and illegal fund raising, we should size up the situation, solve problems in order of importance and urgency, pay attention to the key factors, then take effective measures and properly solve problems. Thank you.

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